There has certainly been a lot written about the housing industry in the last year or two. So much so it is difficult for the consumer to make a rational choice. The fear of making the wrong decision is such a great burden that most will choose to do nothing.
Is this however the right choice for you? In Portland Oregon we have enjoyed over the many years a strong real estate market that supports a modest yearly increase in home values. Generally it runs around 6 %. The last couple of years however have ran at about 14%. For some area of the country these numbers would be considered very low. In some markets they have seen appreciation rates rise as high as 50% in as little as 6 months.
The pitfalls of an expanding market in the double digits is that it tends to produce wild speculation. Often times a feeding frenzy much like Auction Fever will follow causing buyer’s to bite off more than they can chew based on the anticipation that the market will continue to expand and that they will all look like geniuses down the road.
Of course we all know that nothing can go up forever as is now being born out in today’s real estate market. In those markets that experienced the high double digit moves, many are now in decline. Some in a severe decline. For those that experienced modest improvements much like Portland the decline is not one of value but one of speculation.
In the past if a Portland property’s market value was determined to be $300,000, Seller’s and their Real Estate agents might speculate that they could get as high as $365,000 as the market was expanding at a rapid rise. Today’s agents know that in this market place following that strategy is a formula for disaster. Today’s properties must be offered at value. If you want to give yourself an edge you should strongly consider a market price lower than market value.
Other wise you may wind up as one of the many owners whose properties sit and sit taking price reduction after price reduction and finally end up as an expired listing.
Does this then make it a good time to buy or not? It is the perfect time to buy. What better time is there when the market is not expanding at double digits and there is a lot of product on the market to choose from. Currently we are running at about 7% increase in the median homes sales price over the last 12 months. That is a slight improvement over the last two months. Is this a signal that we are beginning to make that push back up the ladder to the double digits. Perhaps not right away but one thing is certain, much like nothing goes up for ever similarly nothing goes down for ever.
To find out what the market is like in your favorite neighborhood be sure to sign up for House_Hunt_Portland where your next home finds you. Your free daily emails will arive at around 5:30 am every morning. Property matches will include Full Listing details with Photo’s and the Address.
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